Expectations can be tough to reasonably develop. You get a glossy new fondle and assume it to be a biggest tool in a universe yet that doesn’t always spin out to be a case.
And yet we don’t trust fans have gotten too crazy over what they are devising Malik Hooker and Quincy Wilson to be, it doesn’t harm to give a foresee as a anxiety point.
From 2010 to 2016, 14 safeties were comparison in a initial turn of a NFL draft. Only 2 of those 14 done a Pro Bowl in their rookie campaign; Eric Berry and Eric Reid. That’s approximately a 14% strike rate, that is flattering damn low.
However, 5 of those players have reached a Pro Bowl during slightest once in their career (Berry, Reid, Earl Thomas, Harrison Smith, Ha Ha Clinton-Dix) and 3 of those players (Berry, Thomas, Clinton-Dix) have done All-Pro honors, as well.
It’s also tough to reason it opposite guys that were recently drafted, such as Damarious Randall, Karl Joseph and Keanu Neal for not achieving any of these accolades. Randall has had an disproportionate few years in a league, while Neal and Joseph had plain debut’s in 2016, so they could presumably be combined to this list down a road.
If we bar these 3 from a career achievements, 1st turn safeties from a other drafts reached a Pro Bowl roughly 50% of a time and found themselves on a All-Pro organisation 27% of a time. Those aren’t bad numbers, and Hooker is also a some-more earnest immature awaiting than a lot of a names from past years, so we would design him to check these career feats off his NFL bucket list in a entrance seasons.
And before we go any further, we know a Pro Bowl is mostly a approval contest, and doesn’t magnitude a success of an particular season. Nonetheless, half a joining seems to get in today and it was a some-more engaging parameter to observe than something as potentially luck-based as interceptions can be, yet picks are still an sparkling statistic to demeanour during as well.
Now that a disclaimer is out of a way, let’s plead a small bit further.
Hooker is clearly a generational talent on film, yet story dictates he has small possibility of anticipating himself on a NFL’s All-Star organisation in 2017 and radically no possibility of reaching a All-Pro squad. Both are flattering lukewarm statements that haven’t seemed to benefit any traction in a internal or inhabitant media anyways and observant that Hooker has about a 50/50 possibility of apropos a Pro-Bowler and around a 25% odds that he’ll turn an All-Pro is usually gripping that H2O during room temperature.
So, let’s concentration on a series that has seemed to be a subject of contention when it comes to Hooker’s rookie deteriorate – interceptions.
Berry available 4 interceptions his initial year, Thomas had 5, Smith 0, Reid 4 and Clinton-Dix picked off 1 pass. Hooker is suspicion of as a subsequent entrance of Thomas and has had a nose for a turn given he handed in his basketball boots for football cleats late in his high propagandize tenure, that is since we would design him to be on a aloft spectrum of this list, definition 4 or 5 interceptions is utterly probable for a Colts newly acquired core fielder. That would be a illusory grant to a invulnerability that treats a football like it’s dowsed in lava.
One final expectancy I’ve seen thrown around here and there for Hooker is defensive rookie of a year honors. The final defensive behind to win that endowment was Marcus Peters in 2015, and before that? Charles Woodson in 1998, 19 years ago. He would have to be truly fantastic on a margin if he wants to supplement Defensive Rookie of a Year to his prize case.
The cornerback position is where eyebrows might be raised.
Out of 1st turn corners, 3 out of 29 done a Pro Bowl in year 1 (Devin McCourty, Patrick Peterson, Marcus Peters), 8 done it during slightest once in their career (McCourty, Peterson, Peters, Joe Haden, Stephon Gilmore, Desmond Trufant, Xavier Rhodes, Jason Verrett) and 4 were All-Pro’s (Haden, McCourty, Peterson, Peters).
But we wish to concentration on a turn that Wilson was comparison in. Out of a 2nd rounders, dating behind to 2010, nothing of a cornerbacks done a Pro Bowl in their entrance deteriorate and usually 2 of them done it during all in their careers (Janoris Jenkins and Casey Hayward who done a All-Pro organisation as well). In fact, they done it only final season.
There are some plain players on this list that have been shamefully unrecognized, such as Darius Slay, who is one of a tip cornerbacks in a league. Other names that merit approval are Ronald Darby, Robert Alford, David Amerson, Jalen Collins and Marcus Gilchrist. Sure, it’s not a many delicious group, yet there are some certain contributors in there.
As we pronounced before, Pro Bowl approval isn’t a approach to magnitude success. In fact, Hayward should’ve done a Pro Bowl in 2012, when he picked off 6 passes and deflected 21 of them as a rookie, numbers that are roughly matching to his All-Pro season. It only shows that each conditions is different, and fans should be vehement about what Wilson brings to a table.
He is a first-round talent, in a clever cornerback category and has been carrying a good display in training stay so far. we design him to join a Hayward, Jenkins, Slay turn of 2nd turn cornerbacks rather than tumble behind in to a after tiers.
With all that said, there is high hopes for a immature careers of Hooker and Wilson and they both have close down potential, expectations only need to be gradual for now since that glossy new fondle can remove the dash in an instant, if we don’t gait ourselves.